yield curve | The Epoch Times

The Theory Behind Yield Curve Prediction

Commentary Since the U.S. yield curve inverted, predicting recession ahead, there have been voices again arguing “this time is different.” Like previous recessions, contrarians challenged the lack of theoretical basis ...

January 9, 2023BY Law Ka-chung

Recession Red Flag Flashes as Bellwether 2–10 Yield Curve Inverts

A recessionary red flag was raised on June 13 when the yield curve inverted on the bellwether 2-year/10-year ...

June 13, 2022BY Tom Ozimek

Explainer: Why are Yield Curve Inversions Seen as a Recession Indicator?

Recently, the yield curve inverted—albeit only for a couple of days. Pundits are now debating whether this is ...

April 12, 2022BY Edward Cheng

Inversion of Key US Yield Curve Slice Is a Recession Alarm

NEW YORK—A closely monitored section of the U.S. Treasury yield curve inverted on Tuesday for the first time ...

March 31, 2022BY Reuters

The One Chart the Smart Money Is Watching Like a Hawk

Commentary With the stock market having escaped January in one piece, all eyes in the market will now ...

February 11, 2022BY Tim Collins

Yield Curve Control: Another Recipe for Stagnation

Commentary Central banks don't manage risk, they disguise it. You know you live in a bubble when a ...

March 21, 2021BY Daniel Lacalle

Bond Market Not Signaling Recession, Experts Say

WASHINGTON—U.S. stocks dropped sharply on Aug. 14, as the bond markets signaled concerns about a possible recession with ...

August 15, 2019BY Emel Akan