Poilievre’s Support Among Tories at Level Seen When He Became Leader

Tory Leader Pierre Poilievre has the support of the majority of Conservative voters, a new poll suggests, as he approaches a leadership review in early 2026.

According to Nov. 30 polling by Abacus Data, 66 percent of Conservative voters say they would vote to keep Poilievre as leader, while 22 percent would vote to replace him, and the remainder were unsure. Among decided Conservative voters, 75 percent would vote to keep Poilievre at the helm.

“This 42-point margin suggests that Poilievre largely retains the confidence of his party’s base, although not universally,” said Abacus Data founder and CEO David Coletto in a news release on the poll.

During the Conservative Party leadership election held in 2022, Poilievre won 68 percent of the vote on the first ballot, compared with 16 percent for former Quebec Premier Jean Charest, 11 percent for Conservative MP Leslyn Lewis, and 5 percent for former Ontario MPP Roman Baber.

Support for Poilievre among party members is lower compared to November 2023, when an Ipsos poll indicated that 91 percent wanted him to lead the party into the next election amid collapsing support nationwide for then-Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.

The latest Abacus poll reported that among all Canadians of various political stripes, 37 percent would vote to keep him as leader, while 44 percent would vote to remove him, and 19 percent were unsure.

Regarding overall impression of the two party leaders, 39 percent of Canadians had a positive impression of Tory Leader Poilievre and 42 percent had a negative impression, while 45 percent of respondents had a positive impression of Prime Minister and Liberal Leader Mark Carney and 31 percent had a negative impression.

Canadians’ overall voting intention remains nearly tied between the Liberals, who would receive 41 percent of the votes, and the Conservatives, who have 40 percent support. The NDP has the support of 8 percent of voters, while 7 percent of Canadians would support the Bloc Québécois.

The Conservative Party will hold its next national convention in Calgary from Jan. 29 to 31, where party members will vote on whether Poilievre should remain on as leader.

During the April 28 federal election, Poilievre lost his Ottawa-area Carleton seat, which he had held for nearly two decades, to Liberal candidate Bruce Fanjoy.

Poilievre went on to regain a seat in an August byelection, winning by over 36,000 votes in the Alberta riding of Battle River-Crowfoot after Conservative MP Damien Kurek offered to step down so that Poilievre could run.