Trump Provides Solution to Housing Crisis

Commentary

President Donald Trump announced on Jan. 7 plans to ban institutional investors from buying up homes and renting them back to Americans.

You’ll Own Something and Be Happy

Corporate landlord Blackstone’s stock plunged by nearly 5 percent on the move to make housing more affordable.

Trump’s goal is to lower house prices and prevent Wall Street from outbidding the rest of us with their unfair access to cheap capital.

And it’s something a lot of Americans have wanted, from the MAGA base to Bernie Bros.

Home ownership has long been a bipartisan goal, as it promotes family formation, promotes community involvement, and lets people build a nest egg.

A recent study found the average net worth of an American homeowner is close to $400,000. The average net worth of an American renter is $10,000.

Ten grand makes for a thin retirement.

The problem, of course, is Americans can no longer afford houses that skyrocketed in price by almost 40 percent under President Joe Biden. Toss in Federal Reserve rate hikes that doubled mortgage rates, and, according to Bankrate, the median monthly mortgage payment increased from $1,242 a month in 2019 to $2,207 in 2024.

This then bled to rents—landlords have mortgages too.

Meanwhile, wages for twentysomethings—who should be starting families—actually went down under Biden, and they have only made back part of the lost ground.

This put institutional buyers in the spotlight, who have spent decades quietly hoovering up millions of homes to rent. The buying accelerated dramatically during COVID-19’s low rates—at one point in 2022, institutions were buying one in four single-family homes.

Banning institutional investors will lower prices. But not by much, considering they make up just a small percentage of home purchases. So going by price elasticities, you might get a 3–5 percent drop in home prices—possibly closer to 10 percent in Sunbelt cities where institutions are most active.

But this comes with a roughly equivalent 3–5 percent rise in rents if Blackstone drops the rental business, where price elasticities are similar.

So slightly cheaper houses and slightly higher rent.

Both nudge people into owning, at the expense of people with poor credit or no down payment, who will pay more rent.

Moreover, we’re talking 3–5 percent when houses went up 40 percent and housing costs doubled.

Buyers need a lot more.

Since he took office in January 2025, Trump’s been trying everything. He’s tried to cut closing costs, promoted simplified local building codes, removed tariffs on construction materials, and proposed opening federal land to housing. Additionally, recently, he deployed $200 billion from government-controlled mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to lower mortgage rates.

In the Big Beautiful Bill, he added tax relief for builders, which is already helping multi-family construction. He even floated 50-year mortgages, which lower payments at the cost of paying your mortgage when you’re 92.

And, of course, deportations have opened more than a million houses and are finally lowering rent prices, especially in deportation-heavy cities such as Austin.

What’s missing is the two biggest drivers of house prices: inflation, which is driven by federal deficits, and mass deregulation in home-building, including environmental mandates, zoning, and rent control, which the National Association of Homebuilders estimates can add $94,000 to the cost of a home.

For these, he needs Congress, along with local governments such as those of New York City or San Francisco, where rent control has led to more than a hundred thousand empty units despite citywide shortages and nosebleed rents that delivered New York City to Mayor Zohran Mamdani.

Affordability and inflation have been the top voter concern all year, and prediction markets currently have 77 percent odds that the GOP loses the House in the midterms.

Given Congress won’t meaningfully cut inflationary spending or regulation in areas such as health care and insurance, housing costs are the last man standing.

Trump’s doing what he can, but Congress has to do the heavy lifting if they want to keep their seats.

Reprinted by permission from The Daily Signal, a publication of The Heritage Foundation.

Views expressed in this article are the opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of The Epoch Times.